Тем не менее, введение пенсионного обеспечения по старости снижает (через поколение) рождаемость на порядок. Исключений я не знаю.
Турцию будем считать исключением? Там на пенсию идут в 40 с небольшим, ибо для молодежи мест не хватает.
Во-первых, прошли те годы, когда они шли на пенсию в 40 с небольшим.
http://www.worldbulletin.net/index.php?aType=haberArchive&ArticleID=27915
According to the law, the retirement age will be gradually raised to 65 for both women and men in 2048. The retirement age was previously 58 for women and 60 for men.
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Во-вторых, таки да, турецко-подданные стареют стремительным домкратом :
Turkey’s young population, which is larger than the total population of many European countries and is second in Europe only to Russia’s, showed signs of contraction, as the median age of the country rose from 28.5 years to 28.8 years in 2009. In other words, half of Turkey’s population is under the age of 28.8, a number that has risen 3.6 months in the span of a year.
Speaking on this issue on Monday at the unveiling of the Supreme Planning Board’s (YPK) 2010 Investment Program, Cevdet Yılmaz noted that the number of births per woman in Turkey was 2.12, under the global average of 2.58, making Turkey 120th in the world. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who remarked on this issue in early 2008, noted that because Turkey is getting older, couples should have at least three kids in order to continue to keep the population of Turkey young. The census data released this week show that Turkey’s youth population growth has slowed down. The growth in the number of children under the age of 4 decreased from 3.53 percent in 2008 to 2.62 percent in 2009. Moreover, continuing the aging trend, the growth rate of the number of youth under the age of 29 contracted to 0.35 percent in 2009 from 0.52 percent.
